[Reader-list] Election Forecast

[Pawan Durani]

And how did Chidambaram manage to win ???

 Daily Mirror, Editorial, May 18, 2009-06-18 Shoe attacks can lead to
slippery victories While the Indian election was declared free and fair ,
the victory of Senior Congress leader and Home Minister P. Chidambaram had
led into a major controversy. On Saturday morning the election officials
declared that Chidambaram- victim of a Bush-style shoe attack in the run up
to polls – was defeated by AIADMK candidate Raja Kannappan by over 3000
voters in Sivaganga electorate in Tamil Nadu. It was confirmed on a second
recount as well. However a third recount done on the request of Chidambaram
saw him leading with a slender 3,354 vote margin with 3,34,348 votes against
3,30,994 by Kannappan. An incensed Kannappan accused the Home Minister of
bribing election officers and AIADMK has vowed to take legal action against
the officers. http://www.dailymir ror.lk/DM_ BLOG/Sections/ frmNewsDetailVie
w.aspx?ARTID= 49176<http://www.dailymirror.lk/DM_BLOG/Sections/frmNewsDetailView.aspx?ARTID=49176>



On Tue, May 19, 2009 at 3:00 PM, Rakesh Iyer <rakesh.rnbdj at gmail.com> wrote:

> Dear Kshamendra
>
> I think it's also somewhat unfair to say that in seats Modi campaigned, if
> the BJP did poorly, it's because of Modi. Similarly, it's also wrong to say
> that Rahul Gandhi was a winning factor for Congress simply because in
> majority of seats which he campaigned in, the Congress won (which is 76 out
> of 120).
>
> The larger point which does come out from this is that Modi has a bad habit
> of making attacks personal, which is not the way elections should be
> contested. I can accept that Manmohan and Advani have to attack the other
> side during election times, but let's attack each other's policies rather
> than family and physical strength. Congress can be attacked for not
> bringing
> enough development in the nation; what's deplorable is that it instead is
> attacked on 'budhiya-gudiya' politics. How is that related to the poor's
> benefit?
>
> Also, like Advani sahab, he also has the habit of running away when his
> back
> is up against the wall, as this election proves. After the results came, he
> was nowhere to be found! And we need leaders who have the courage to accept
> their defeat and come back. This is why Indira was a respected adversary
> even among her opponents.
>
> There are many issues which decide as to why someone wins from a particular
> constituency either at the MLA or at the MP level. Hence, to prove this,
> there have to be surveys of the kind Yogendra Yadav does. And then only can
> we think about arriving at some conclusions.
>
> Regards
>
> Rakesh
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